The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released its latest Seasonal Climate Watch for the period October 2025 to February 2026, offering insight into South Africa's expected weather trends. According to SAWS, the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains in a neutral phase but is now moving closer to a La Niña state. Forecast models suggest that a weak La Niña event could develop during the upcoming summer, with confidence in this outcome increasing as the season approaches.
Typically, La Niña conditions bring above-normal rainfall to northeastern South Africa, particularly affecting provinces such as Limpopo, Mpumalanga, and KwaZulu-Natal, as well as the northern parts of the Free State and Gauteng. The latest projections indicate that these regions are likely to experience wetter-than-usual conditions through the summer and late-summer months.
For travellers and holidaymakers, the expected weather pattern means lush green landscapes, flowing rivers, and vibrant wildlife activity - especially in destinations such as the Kruger National Park, iSimangaliso Wetland Park, and Drakensberg Mountains. While brief afternoon showers and thunderstorms may occur, mornings are often clear and warm, providing excellent opportunities for game drives, birdwatching, and photography. Visitors are advised to pack light rain gear and plan for flexible itineraries, particularly when exploring remote or off-road areas where rain might affect accessibility.
In terms of temperature, minimum temperatures are expected to remain above average across most of South Africa, while maximum temperatures may vary between above- and below-normal levels. The expected periods of below-normal maximums are linked to prolonged cloud cover - a further indication of an active rainfall season.
SAWS will continue to monitor weather and climate developments closely and provide regular updates as new data emerges. The latest outlook suggests that South Africa could be heading into a season of increased rainfall, especially in the country’s summer rainfall regions - promising refreshing, scenic travel conditions and vibrant natural experiences for visitors.
Subscribe for updates:
Subscribe to our newsletter for weekly updates, border info, road alerts, and travel inspiration for Southern Africa.
No comments:
Post a Comment