The Botswana Ministry of Environment and Tourism, through the Department of Meteorological Services (DMS), has released its official seasonal rainfall and temperature outlook for January to April 2026. The forecast indicates that most of Botswana is likely to experience normal to above-average rainfall, while temperatures are expected to remain close to seasonal norms across the country.
According to the DMS, normal rainfall totals for the January–April period typically range from approximately 100mm in the Kgalagadi District to around 340mm in the Chobe District, reflecting the country’s strong regional climate variation. These rainfall levels play a critical role in replenishing water sources, supporting agriculture, and shaping wildlife movements during the peak wet season.
In terms of temperatures, normal maximum daytime temperatures during this period generally range from about 30°C in south-eastern Botswana to around 34°C in the Kgalagadi region, aligning with long-term climatic averages.
From a climate systems perspective, a weak La Niña event is currently present, with conditions expected to transition to ENSO-neutral between January and March 2026. This shift supports an enhanced probability of continued normal to above-normal rainfall, while near-normal temperatures are expected to prevail nationwide.
What the Forecast Means for Safari and Self-Drive Travellers
For travellers planning safaris, overland trips, or self-drive holidays in Botswana during early 2026, the forecast presents both opportunities and practical considerations.
Wildlife viewing and landscapes
Above-average rainfall typically results in lush vegetation, full waterholes, and vibrant landscapes, particularly in northern Botswana. Areas such as Chobe National Park, Moremi Game Reserve, Savuti, and the Okavango Delta benefit from increased surface water, supporting healthy wildlife populations and excellent photographic conditions. Birdlife is also at its peak during this period.
Road conditions and accessibility
While the rainy season enhances the natural environment, it can also impact road conditions, especially in remote and low-lying areas. Flooded tracks, muddy sand roads, and temporary closures are common in parts of the Kgalagadi, Savuti, and Okavango regions. Self-drive travellers in Botswana are strongly advised to use high-clearance 4x4 vehicles and to confirm current road conditions with lodges, park authorities, or local operators before travelling.
Temperatures and comfort
With near-normal temperatures ranging between 30°C and 34°C, conditions will be warm and humid following rainfall, which is typical for Botswana's wet season. Afternoon thunderstorms may bring short-lived relief from the heat.
Travel planning advice
Travellers should plan flexible itineraries, allow extra travel time between destinations, and monitor local weather updates throughout their trip. Comprehensive travel insurance that covers weather-related disruptions is recommended, particularly for self-drive and remote-area travel.
Overall, the January to April 2026 outlook suggests favourable conditions for nature-based travel in Botswana, with thriving ecosystems and rewarding wildlife experiences. However, visitors should remain mindful of seasonal weather impacts and plan accordingly to ensure a safe and enjoyable journey through Botswana.
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