According to the findings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-27), most member states of the Southern African Development Community (SADC)* are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall for most of the period from October 2023 to December 2023. The north-western part of Angola, much of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), the southern half of Tanzania, north-eastern Zambia, northern Malawi, northern Mozambique, the Comoros, eastern Madagascar, and Mauritius are expected to experience normal to above-normal rains during this period. The northern half of Tanzania and the Seychelles are likely to receive above normal rainfall between October 2023 and December 2023.
The period December 2023 to February 2024 is expected to have normal to above normal rainfall for the bulk of the SADC region except for the south-western fringes of Namibia, south-western South Africa, the southern part of Zimbabwe, the eastern half of Botswana, northern South Africa, Eswatini and southern Mozambique where normal to below-normal rains are expected. Southernmost Madagascar will likely receive below normal rainfall during this period. The Seychelles is likely to receive above normal rainfall between December 2023 and February 2024.
* Angola, Botswana, Comoros, Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Eswatini (Swaziland), Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe