The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period August 2023 to December 2023. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in an El Niño state and is expected to persist through most of the summer months. ENSO’s impact is still limited for the initial forecast period, with early summer forecasts indicating to manifest its impact during the summer period.
SAWS' multi-model rainfall forecast indicates above-normal rainfall for most of South Africa during early-spring (August to October) with below-normal rainfall predicted over the western parts during mid-spring (September to November) and late-spring (October to December).
Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal in the whole of South Africa for the forecast period (August 2023 to December 2023)
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