Southern Africa: Rainfall outlook (March - May 2018)!

According to the mid-season review and update of the Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (December 2017)*, the bulk of the member states of the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region will experience normal to above-normal rainfall between March 2018 and May 2018. However, Namibia and the south-western part of South Africa are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rain during most of the time between January 2018 (!) and May 2018.

March to May 2018:

• North-western most Democratic Republic of Congo
• Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall
• North-eastern most  of Tanzania, bulk of Democratic Republic of Congo, northern half of Angola and northern Zambia
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Northern Mozambique, bulk of Tanzania, Malawi and eastern Zambia
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Southern Zambia, northern half of Zimbabwe, central parts of Mozambique, northernmost Botswana, northernmost Namibia and half of Angola
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Southern Mozambique, eastern fringes of Zimbabwe, eastern parts of South Africa, Lesotho and Swaziland
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Southern half of Zimbabwe, bulk of Botswana, bulk of South Africa and bulk of Namibia
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Western half of Madagascar
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Easternmost Madagascar
• Increased chances of normal to below-normal rainfall
• Mauritius
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall
• Seychelles
• Increased chances of normal to above-normal rainfall

*mid-season review and update of the Southern African Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-21), 05-08 December 2017