Botswana seasonal weather outlook 2025/26: Wet and green safari season forecast!

The Botswana Ministry of Environment and Tourism, through the Department of Meteorological Services (DMS), has released its seasonal rainfall and temperature outlook for October 2025 to March 2026. Travellers, safari operators, and farmers can expect a slow start to the rains in the north and west, followed by above-average rainfall across much of the country as the season progresses – great news for Botswana’s iconic wildlife areas.

Key highlights of the 2025/26 seasonal outlook:

October – December 2025:

• North & West (Chobe, Ngamiland, Ghanzi): Normal to below-normal rainfall at the start of the season.
• East & South (North-east, Kgatleng, South-east, Kweneng, Southern, Kgalagadi): Normal to above-normal rainfall, improving as the season moves into December.
• Temperatures: Near normal countrywide (31°C in the southeast to 34°C in the north).

November 2025 – January 2026:

• Nationwide: Largely normal rainfall with a tendency to above-normal levels.
• Temperatures: Expected to remain near normal.

December 2025 – February 2026:

• Chobe, Ngamiland, Ghanzi, Central, Kgalagadi, Kweneng, Southern: Normal to above-normal rainfall.
• North-east, South-central, Kgatleng, South-east: Above-normal rainfall.
• Temperatures: Near normal, ranging from 30°C in the north to 34°C in the southwest.

January – March 2026:

• Chobe, Ngamiland, Ghanzi, Central, Kgalagadi: Normal to above-normal rainfall.
• Eastern Botswana (North-east, Kgatleng, South-central, Kweneng, Southern, South-east): Above-normal rainfall, suggesting a lush late season.
• Temperatures: Near normal across the country.

Climate drivers:

The outlook highlights a weak La Niña event expected to emerge between October and November 2025, with a 56% likelihood of persisting through early summer (Nov–Jan). La Niña events often bring wetter conditions to Botswana, boosting game-viewing experiences as wildlife congregates around water sources later in the season.

What this means for travel & tourism:

Visitors planning safaris in Botswana’s top destinations – Okavango Delta, Chobe National Park, Makgadikgadi Pans, and the Kalahari – should prepare for:

• Greener landscapes and excellent photographic opportunities later in the season.
• Possible road access challenges in remote areas due to heavy rains from December onward – 4x4 travel is recommended.
• Near-normal temperatures – expect hot but not extreme summer conditions.

Summary:

• Slow start to rains in the north and west of Botswana, wetter as the season continues.
• Above-normal rainfall likely in the east and south from December onward.
• Near-normal temperatures expected nationwide.
• Overall outlook: A relatively wet and lush summer season – ideal for wildlife lovers and photographers.

This forecast is good news for Botswana’s ecosystems and safari enthusiasts, as abundant rains help replenish pans, rivers, and grazing lands across the country.

 

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