The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has published its Seasonal Climate Watch for the period June to October 2025. According to the latest report, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains in a neutral phase and is expected to stay neutral for the foreseeable future. While ENSO is a key global climate driver, it typically has minimal influence on South Africa’s winter weather patterns and is not expected to significantly affect conditions during this period.
Rainfall during winter and early spring is typically concentrated in the southwestern regions of South Africa as well as the southern and eastern coastal areas. The forecast indicates that:
- Mid-winter: Both the southwest and eastern coastal regions may experience above-normal rainfall.
- Late winter to early spring: The eastern coastal areas are expected to continue seeing above-normal rainfall, while the southwest is likely to shift to below-normal precipitation.
The majority of South Africa is forecast to experience above-normal minimum and maximum temperatures throughout the winter season. However, parts of the southern coastal belt may see below-normal temperatures, offering cooler-than-usual conditions in these areas.
While ENSO remains neutral and largely uninfluential for South Africa this winter, localized weather patterns will shape rainfall and temperature across the country. Travellers and residents can expect warmer-than-average temperatures in most regions, with variable rainfall focused primarily on the coastal and southwestern areas.
No comments:
Post a Comment