The South African Weather Service (SAWS) has released the Seasonal Climate Watch for the period February 2023 to April 2023. According to the seasonal outlook, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is currently in a La Niña state, and forecasts indicate that it will likely return to a neutral state by autumn (March 2023 to May 2023). As ENSO remains in a La Niña state, late-summer and early autumn rainfall remains likely for above-normal rainfall over the summer rainfall areas.
The multi-model rainfall forecast indicates above-normal rainfall for most parts of South Africa for all predicted seasons. Minimum and maximum temperatures are expected to be mostly above-normal countrywide for the forecast period.
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